KUTIC Insights

Samsung’s Semiconductor Rebound

By Chaei Beak
Published November 24th

Introduction

After two years of cyclical downturn (15 trillion won deficit during 2022-2023), Samsung electronics has regained momentum as the demand of AI chips rose since 2024. This was due to the rise of Generative AI services such as ChatGPT, Copilot and Claude demanding data centers and high-performance AI servers that required High Bandwidth memory. This report aims to examine how Samsung’s financial discipline, technological advancements, market positioning, and leadership has reshaped its rebound. Samsung’s total sales are around 300 trillion won, with cash reserves that are over 100 trillion. They are continuously expanding their R&D spendings and are capable to withstand short term losses as they hold sufficient buffer. Samsung’s strategy overall aims were to maintain its level of investment whilst maintaining its competitiveness in the market

Samsung’s Rebound

The AI-related D-RAM market, led by companies such as SK Hynix, Samsung, and Micron experienced price surges by 30-40% in 2024. Especially for Samsung, the semiconductor division turned profitable as the demand for AI-server memory spiked and Samsung started to mass produce HMB3E, the latest generation of AI memory, in its second half of 2024. Hence, Samsung’s primary demand sectors shifted from mobile devices/PC to AI servers/data centers in 2024. This shift was accompanied by a strategic transformation—in 2023, Samsung’s goal was to reduce production and maintain investment; in 2024, Samsung aimed to optimize its capital expenditure by expanding the production of HBM, focusing on premium products. Now, rather than focusing on the production of low-profit memory chips, Samsung has shifted its strategic approach from quantity-driven to quality driven; focusing on the production of high-end products such as HBM, LPDDR5X and enterprise SSD. Furthermore, the core challenge of Samsung in 2023 was excess inventory. In order to combat this, Samsung enforced production cuts, allowing the normalization of DRAM and NAND inventory.

The 2024 market position of Samsung were as follows:

DRAM: Market share of 40% (1st Worldwide)

- NAND: Market share of 30% (2nd Worldwide)

- Foundry: Market share of 15-18% (2nd world), TSMC 60%

- 55% of the sales origin from the DS sector

The capital expenditure optimization and cost discipline of Samsung hence were the key drivers that enabled the rebound of Samsung

Financial Resilience of Samsung

Even while Samsung’s financial stability was stumbling in 2023, Samsung took economic measures to retore its stability. Holding ₩100 trillion as cash reserves, Samsung was able to continue investing in R&D and its core processes even during its period of recession. Being able to protect themselves from dividend payouts, exchange rates, and finance costs, Samsung was capable of withstanding their period of recession. Furthermore, in 2022, the United States implemented the CHIPS and Science Act which offered a tax credit of 25% to companies that were investing in semiconductor manufacturingfacilities. Samsung, investing in $17 billion dollars, is expected to have $4 billion worth of tax credits with its plant completion.

Conclusion

Overall, it could be found that the key factors that enabled the powerful rebound of Samsung were firstly due to the demand boom of AI. The sharp increase of HBM demands allowed the prices to surge as much as 30% to 40%. This was further aided by companies such as NVIDIA, AMD, and Google, the key companies that lead the AI sector, choosing Samsung products in their technology. The AI demand spike was however, not the driving force, but a spark. Samsung conducted a product mix shift that increased the production of high-cost goods. This shift—from quantity to quality—was a strong defense against sudden price plunges and a strong stabilizer of inventory. Samsung also focused on its operational efficiency through automizing lines and implementing AI into product monitoring. Finally, Samsung’s financial Resilience and capital allocation (cash reserves) were the shields that enabled the company to continue its investments in R&D whilst reallocating CapEx. Ultimately, through disciplined product shifts, technological investment, automation and strong financial basis, Samsung was capable to converting a cyclical downturn into a sustainable recovery

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or other professional advice. The views expressed are our own and do not reflect the views of any institution we may be affiliated with. We are not licensed financial advisors, and nothing in this publication should be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Please do your own research or consult a licensed professional before making any investment decisions.

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